Let me project to 2009–the crisis year for the Philippines.
1. Cha-cha and GMA’s drive to retain power.
2. Seven retirements, seven appointments, and the crisis of independence and relevance of the Supreme Court.
3. Global recession and its effect on the Philippine foreign trade, foreign credit, foreign investments, overseas and local jobs, local business viability, local banking, and political stability.
4. The poverty and hunger crisis.
5. Oil price, exchange rate, and inflation crisis.
6. Continuing crsis of extrajudicial killings, forced disappearances, and media killings.
7. Crisis of the failed peace process and talks with the MILF and the CPP.
8. Election violence and election manipulation.
9. Credibility and popularity of the GMA administration.
10. Threat of some form of martial law and military’s political meddling.
11. Crisis of rampant government corruption.
12. Crisis in delivery of government basic services to the poor.
Some of these will be solved in 2009; others will worsen; and still others are treated by the government as non-crisis. The GMA politics of survival–if continued into the new year–can easily bring her administration into a role as part of the problem, not into the role as part of the solution.
A people power greeting to us all as we usher in the year 2009.