It is almost a given that Senator Noynoy Aquino will run for presidency this 2010 elections. While there are still details to be straightened out, old loyals to be reconnected, and new activists to be recruited and organized, the Yellow army is preparing to march into the electoral battle.
It is a battle to be fought on unfamiliar ground for most presidentiables. Of course, the whole point is to win the majority votes. Conventional wisdom (read: traditional politics) dictates that to win, one has to have a prohibitively expensive campaign, a political base of traditional political dynasties, and the popularity that befits a movie star.
The problem with Noynoy is that he was not contemplating running, much more running for presidency. He had not much campaign money, no nationwide campaign organization, and not that personally well-known among the electorate. If the usual yardsticks are used, he would lose. He would be judged as woefully unprepared, particularly at this late stage of the electoral game.
His advantage is that he was not contemplating running, much more running for presidency. His is a reluctant candidacy, diametrically opposite to GMA’s desperate schemes to hold on to the power. At the least, the old and new Yellow constituents identify with him because of this.
However, there is much more. There is a widespread sense of discontent and a yearning for the fulfillment of the EDSA aspirations for the broadest participatory democracy, clean government, prosperity and well-being of the people, and the respect for human rights.
Unfortunately for GMA, for the many who fought the fight against the Marcos dictatorship and those who stood up in these crisis times, the death of Noynoy’s mother, Cory Aquino, highlighted the vast difference between the EDSA ideals and the current practice of the Arroyo government. They manifested their sentiments in the gigantic funeral send-off of August 5 for Cory Aquino.
Having embraced Ninoy and Cory, are they prepared to return to battle for Noynoy? Will they accept him as the political heir of his parents and therefore embrace his flag? Will they believe his reform and change credentials and carry him to victory in next year’s elections? The next decision is theirs.