If you have suspicions about the Arroyo’s political plans in the post-GMA period, they may be true. What is unfolding now is a triad strategy consisting of Arroyo’s people working in key government branches and departments, their machinations to protect their collective neck and their ill-gotten wealth, and possibly laying the foundations for a return to power, whether it be before or in 2016.
President Noynoy’s biggest headache is turning out to be the Arroyo majority block in the Supreme Court, which regularly and collectively turns out decisions that are perceived to be protective of key Arroyo people, self-serving executive decisions, and pro-GMA legislation that both emasculated Noynoy’s executive prerogatives and strengthened his enemies’ hand.
There is also the combined pro-Arroyo and anti-Noynoy camp in both houses of Congress who have set themselves the task of finding faults and undermining the popular support of the president on each and every issue. They are supported in this demolition job by their allies in the media and in other opinion-maker institutions.
Such a loss of popular support, or just even its perception, may be triggered by a political crisis scenario that puts the Aquino government or the president in a bad light. In turn, an attempt can be made to cut short the presidential term before 2016, similar to what happened to former president Erap Estrada in 1998-2000. The latter is the precedent worth studying.
It is an undemocratic strategy that smacks of the days of the Marcos grab for power. The problem here is that the Arroyo scheme is not the only one that is possibly running. The reform agenda of the Aquino government–the very reason why people voted for him–ironically is proving to be the magnet that draws anti-Noynoy forces to contemplate schemes against him.
Strategies most foul.