This early, there are already signs of jockeying for strategic points and advantageous heights for the presidential contest in 2016. There are also signs of preparations for an alternative possible scenario of the premature end to the Noynoy Aquino administration before then.
While there is a certain level of consolidation on his hold on power, the Aquino administration certainly cannot take comfort from it. There are at least three factors that influence against further development in this direction. One, the performance of this administration in addressing felt problems of the people is not registering on the ground. Two, there are several active inimical campaigns against the administration–most of which are bent on destabilizing, if not actually preempting its term. Three, the 2016 presidential electoral contest increasingly becomes an immediate consideration for key forces and allies of the president, undermining party and ruling coalition unity and cohesion.
Of the three, the last one is completely unnecessary but assumes life on its own because of the failure (so far) of the president to bind all his men (and women) to a single vision, a single strategy and a unified plan for his term in power. He has given a long leash to key cabinet and other officials without clarifying first his own set of priorities. It therefore led to a situation where ambitions and interests of those close to him dictate more often than not specific policies.
The 2016 presidential electoral contest has already spawned this early at least three contenders, with several others trying to position themselves as presidentiables. If the president does not nip this in the bud, it can undermine his administration and open the possibility of a weakened administration under attack after two years in office.