The latest SWS survey results of January 21-24, 2010 are in. In it, Noynoy Aquino still maintains his lead over Manny Villar with 42% of the votes against Villar’s 35%. However, this is already 2% less than his 44% in the December 27-28, 2009 SWS survey.
Villar, meanwhile, improved from his 33% standing. However, this is a smaller gain than his 6% gain from the previous 3-week period in December 2009. Villar got around 1% of his gain from Noynoy, the other 1% from Erap Estrada (who dipped from 15% to 13%). At this rate, it is a fifty-fifty chance if he can catch up with Noynoy by election time.
It is definitely going to be a tough time ahead for both. Manny villar will have to do more to maintain his momentum while Noynoy Aquino will have to fight tooth and nail to preserve or even expand his lead. The fight will become more interesting as both go into the formal campaign period.
Manny Villar will have a harder time because of his second-place position and the absence of undecided votes. He has to chip away at the votes of other candidates and his one major objective is to either cannibalize Erap’s votes or get the latter to stand aside and endorse him.
Noynoy Aquino worry is the vulnerability of his poorer constituency to the anti-poverty song of Villar’s ads and his own ineffectiveness to offer his alternatives (so far). The mantra against corruption and for honest government can only bring his campaign so far.
Of course, the SWS survey does not yet cover the period of the Senate Committee of the Whole recommendation on the C5 extension case in which Villar is implicated. It definitely would impact on the campaign, but this cdannot be measured at this time.
The other candidates are slowly losing their grip on the electorate and will have to confront the reality of their losing bids. This would also impact on the future of the Noynoy Aquino-Manny Villar one-on-one contest.
Manny Villar:”My mother taught me to work hard and not to steal and wait until I have the opportunity to have what I want.”
EQ Question: Explain “C5 at Taga”
Manny Villar is a liar surrounded with liars. The C-5 primer posted in the internet to answer the Senate Committee of the Whole Report is full of lies and deceptions. Why there are still many people who believe in him? Maybe the Philippines is a hopeless case.
My modest response to Villar’s LIES is to intensify my campaign. Somehow, at this time, all my relatives and friends are now rock solid for Noynoy-Mar. These folks were originally supporting Villar. In fact, I made it crystal clear to the mayor (Villar’s ally) that our support for him does not include Villar. If he pushes a support for Villar, we will not vote for him – that’s the deal. The more people talk ill about Noynoy, the stronger is my resolve to campaign for him. Let Villar overtake Noynoy in the survey – I could not care less because our relatives and friends will remain LOYAL to NOY-MAR team – win or loss!!!
If the voters will corrupt themselves, then our Country will never improve. I do hope that people should realize the consequences of corruption.
People should not be fooled by Villar’s ADS. Fact is he’s earning his billions by SELLING low-cost housing to POOR & middle-class-FILIPINO FAMILIES!
Villar says the zonal value of his Sucat property is fair.Fair my foot-P35,000 per sq.meter in sucat is fair?
How about the Pulse Asia survey? Villar and Noynoy are statistically tied now. Nabili sa Quiapo, Noynoy? hahaha!
Mon Casiple sure sounds impressive, and certainly sounds convincing when peddling his take on current political events. Unfortunately, unfolding events prove that his interpretation of the mood of the Philippine public are wrong.
Compare the realities shown by the SWS survey referred to above, the Pulse Asia Jan 2010 survey, and the Junie Laylo Jan 2010 survey to Mr. Casiple’s article “Villar’s Calvary”.
“Sen. Villar does not need the crucification by his Senate detractors. His campaign is already in peril.” Kindly take your analysis to a deeper level, Mr. Casiple. Your reading of the public pulse is dead wrong.
Wouldn’t it be helpful if surveys also asked which presidentiables perople will NEVER vote for?
The C-5 is just one of Villar’s many transgressions. I hope you can find the time to check out the documents I posted in connection with the Villar-owned Optimum Dev’t Bank. What I thought was hearsay is actually true.
http://schumey.blogspot.com/2010/02/real-villars.html
[…] Weather Stations’ Jan. 21-24 report in full; here is Pulse Asia’s Jan. 22-26 report. Mon Casiple has an analysis, while Marocharim Experiment has a generation-specific reflection. For background […]
Surveys are not reliable since there are areas in the country where one presidentiable has a large following compared to the other, say Manila is mostly pro Aquino and the provinces is for Villar or Gibo.If the surveys is done in Manila for sure Aquino leads but if made outside the metro I doubt it.
They should specify in their surveys where they got them it’s very misleading.From what level of society e.g., class a,b or c.In what areas in the country. Manila is not the entire Philippines we do think differently here in the provinces.